It's now been two months since the first packs of Double Masters 2 were cracked - The purpose of a "masters" set is (a license to print money) to use reprints to lower the prices of cards by introducing new supply into the market, but how well did it go?
If you're a new player who doesnt yet own a reprinted card - what should you do? When is the best time to buy if you want to spend the least money?
If you're looking to buy a card is just about to get it's first ever reprint in a masters set - JUST WAIT. The price you would pay will absolutely ... plummet ... (Author's note for the future - don't try to shoehorn in lame puns with card names).
| When to buy? | What will I save (on average)? |
| Pre-order at the end of spoilers | 43% |
| On the release date | 63% |
| 1 month after release | 70% |
| 2 months after release | 73% |
Obviously, things aren't quite that cut and dry - the average saving depends highly on the price of the card before it was spoiled, and the rarity. For further details, read the detailed analysis below.
Warhammer 40,000 (40K)
on 2022-10-07
There are exactly 999(!!!) different card variations in 2X2 (counting all foil, non foil, borderless etc etc). That's far too many - we'll be a bit more concise, and look at these:
With these constraints, our analysis covers 61 cards in total.
We'll also look at different price brackets and see what difference that makes.
Expand the boxes below by clicking the headers - the chart will automatically update to filter on the right cards
You can also play around with the chart filters - press the blue buttons, hover, click and drag on the charts to select and zoom
Commons under 50c - Not much to discuss here - they're as cheap as they can be, any movement in price is just noise
Over 50c, you can make some savings by waiting - for the sake of a few cents, just go buy on release day, they wont get any cheaper
TLDR? Just get commons and uncommons whenever you like, it doesnt really matter that much!
Uncommons under 50c - Again, they're already super cheap, they'll hit the floor, you'll save a few cents
Over 50c, you can make some savings by waiting - for the sake of a few cents, just go buy on release day, they wont get any cheaper - 70% savings VS 53% 2 months later (a whopping 3c on average!)
Over $1 (Conclave Mentor and Dragon Arch), you'll save from 75% to 83% by waiting an additional 2 months - That's as much as 34c on a copy of Dragon Arch!
TLDR? Just get commons and uncommons whenever you like, it doesnt really matter that much!
Now we're looking at making some savings! Average cost of a rare goes from $6.51 on spoiler day to $2.34 on release date, and $1.08 two months after release
Higher value rares get hit harder by price drops - from 60% on low value to 86% on the higher end, with Drogskol Reaver and Mayael's Aria seeing 90%+ drops in price!
| Spoiler Price | $ @ Spoiler date | $ @ Release | $ after 1 month | $ after 2 months | Average Price |
| $0-$2 | $1.35 | $0.60 (55.6%) |
$0.56 (58.5%) |
$0.53 (60.7%) |
Release : $0.60(55.6%) 1 Month : $0.65(58.5%) 2 Months : $0.53(60.7%) |
| $2-$10 | $3.94 | $1.52 (61.4%) |
$1.05 (73.4%) |
$0.82 (79.2%) |
Release : $1.52(61.4%) 1 Month : $1.05(73.4%) 2 Months : $0.82(79.2%) |
| $10+ | $13.73 | $4.69 (65.9%) |
$2.59 (81.2%) |
$1.83 (86.7%) |
Release : $13.73(65.9%) 1 Month : $4.69(81.2%) 2 Months : $1.83(86.7%) |
On average, we still see the same trend - good things come to those who wait - 64.3.9% at release, to 72.5% after 2 months
Interestingly, when you break it down by price, the trend stops working - the higher the initial price, the lower the savings get on the reprint - they're much closer together - admittedly, this is buoyed by the insane demand for one of the best cards in EDH - Dockside Extortionist, which is nearly at parity with it's original printing (5.8%) - but also seen for Allosaurus Shepherd, only dropping 39% after 2 months - if you pull a $50+ mythic in a pack, you're probably going to hold onto it for a while, supply on these will be much less
In the $100+ category, Warrior's Oath]] is on it's own - that drop doesnt really count as a trend. It was short printed in [s[Portal Three Kingdoms, and it's price is almost all due to speculation (PS - any card not on the reserve list, can and will be printed again at some point...buyer beware!)
| Spoiler Price | $ @ Spoiler date | $ @ Release | $ after 1 month | $ after 2 months | Average Price |
| $0-$10 | $3.38 | $1.05 (64.3%) |
$0.55 (69.6%) |
$0.49 (72.5%) |
Release : $1.05(64.3%) 1 Month : $0.55(69.6%) 2 Months : $0.49(72.5%) |
| $10-$50 | $18.64 | $6.94 (62.8%) |
$5.47 (70.7%) |
$4.09 (78.1%) |
Release : $6.94(62.8%) 1 Month : $5.47(70.7%) 2 Months : $4.09(78.1%) |
| $50-$100 | $65.03 | $49.21 (24.3%) |
$53.96 (17.0%) |
$51.2 (21.3%) |
Release : $49.21(24.3%) 1 Month : $53.96(17.0%) 2 Months : $51.2(21.3%) |
| $100+ | $281.24 | $48.12 (82.9%) |
$18.66 (93.4%) |
$13.78 (95.1%) |
Release : $48.12(82.9%) 1 Month : $18.66(93.4%) 2 Months : $13.78(95.1%) |
I hope this was interesting to someone out there! I've tried to improve the readability of this article compared to the last - please, do give some feedback if you got this far.
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